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the.world.is.flat-第77章

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extended families; and everyone is working and saving to get to 〃the right side of 
the tracks。〃 On the Chinese streets; there's no rule of law; but the roads are all 
well paved;there are no potholes; and the streetlights all work。 Onthe Indian streets; 


by contrast; no one ever repairs the streetlights; the roads are full of ruts; but 
the police are sticklers for the rules。 You need a license to open a lemonade stand 
on the Indian streets。 Luckily; the local cops can be bribed; and the successful 
entrepreneurs all have their own generators to run their factories and the latest 
cell phones to get 
317 
around the fact that the local telephone poles are all down。 Africa; sadly; is that 
part of town where the businesses are boarded up; life expectancy is declining; and 
the only new buildings are health…care clinics。 
The point here is that every region of the world has its strengths and weaknesses; 
and all are in need of reform retail to some degree。 What is reform retail? In the 
simplest terms; it is more than just opening your country to foreign trade and 
investment and making a few macroeco…nomic policy changes from the top。 That is reform 
wholesale。 Reform retail presumes you have already done reform wholesale。 It involves 
looking at four key aspects of your society…infrastructure; regulatory institutions; 
education; and culture (the general way your country and leaders relate to the 
world)…and upgrading each one to remove as many friction points as possible。 The idea 
of reform retail is to enable the greatest number of your people to have the best 
legal and institutional framework within which to innovate; start companies; and 
become attractive partners for those who want to collaborate with them from elsewhere 
in the world。 
Many of the key elements of reform retail were best defined by the research done by 
the World Bank's International Finance Corporation (IFC) and its economic analysis 
team led by its chief economist; Michael Klein。 What do we learn from their work? 
To begin with; you don't grow your country out of poverty by guaranteeing everyone 
a job。 Egypt guarantees all college graduates a job each year; and it has been mired 
in poverty with a slow…growing economy for fifty years。 
〃If it were just a matter of the number of jobs; solutions would be easy;〃 note Klein 
and Bita Hadjimichael in their World Bank Study; The Private Sector in Development。 
〃For example; state…owned enterprises could absorb all those in need of employment。 
The real issue is not just employment; but increasingly productive employment that 
allows living standards to rise。〃 State…owned enterprises and state…subsidized 
private firms usuallyhave not delivered sustainable productivity growth; and neither 
have a lot of other approaches that people assume are elixirs of growth; they add。 
Just attracting more foreign investment into a country also doesn't automatically 
do it。 And even massive investments in education won't guarantee it。 
318 
〃Productivity growth and; hence; the way out of poverty; is not simply a matter of 
throwing resources at the problem;〃 say Klein and Hadjimichael。 〃More important; it 
is a matter of using resources well。〃 In other words; countries grow out of poverty 
not only when they manage their fiscal and monetary policies responsibly from above; 
i。e。; reform wholesale。 They grow out of poverty when they also create an environment 
below that makes it very easy for their people to start businesses; raise capital; 
and become entrepreneurs; and when they subject their people to at least some 


competition from beyond…because companies and countries with competitors always 
innovate more and faster。 
The IFC drove home this point with a comprehensive study of more than 130 countries; 
called Doing Business in 2004。 The IFC asked five basic questions about doing business 
in each of these countries; questions about how easy or difficult it is to 1) start 
a business in terms of local rules; regulations; and license fees; 2) hire and fire 
workers; 3) enforce a contract; 4) get credit; and 5) close a business that goes 
bankrupt or is failing。 To translate it into my own lexicon; those countries that 
make all these things relatively simple and friction…free have undertaken reform 
retail; and those that have not are stalled in reform wholesale and are not likely 
to thrive in a flat world。 The IFC's criteria were inspired by the brilliant and 
innovative work of Hernando de Soto; who has demonstrated in Peru and other developing 
nations that if you change the regulatory and business environment for the poor; and 
give them the tools to collaborate; they will do the rest。 
Doing Business in 2004 tries to explain each of its points with a few colorful examples: 
〃Teuku; an entreprenuer in Jakarta; wants to open a textile factory。 He has customers 
lined up; imported machinery; and a promising business plan。 Teuku's first encounter 
with the government is when registering his business。 He gets the standard forms from 
the Ministry of Justice; and completes and notarizes them。 Teuku proves that he is 
a local resident and does not have a criminal record。 He obtains a tax number; applies 
for a business license; and deposits the minimum capital (three times national income 
per capita) in the bank。 He then publishes the articles of association in the official 
gazette; pays a stamp fee; registers at the Ministry of Justice; and waits 90 days 
before filing for 

social security。 One hundred sixty…eight days after he commences the process; Teuku 
can legally start operations。 In the meantime; his customers have contracted with 
another business。 
〃In Panama; another entrepreneur; Ina; registers her construction company in only 
19 days。 Business is booming and Ina wants to hire someone for a two…year appointment。 
But the employment law only allows fixed…term appointments for specific tasks; and 
even then requires a maximum term of one year。 At the same time; one of her current 
workers often leaves early; with no excuse; and makes costly mistakes。 To replace 
him; Ina needs to notify and get approval from the union; and pay five months' 
severance pay。 Ina rejects the more qualified applicant she would like to hire and 
keeps the underperforming worker on staff。 
〃Ali; a trader in the United Arab Emirates; can hire and fire with ease。 But one of 
his customers refuses to pay for equipment delivered three months earlier。 It takes 
27 procedures and more than 550 days to resolve the payment dispute in court。 Almost 
all procedures must be made in writing; and require extensive legal justification 
and the use of lawyers。 After this experience; Ali decides to deal only with customers 
he knows well。 
〃Timnit; a young entrepreneur in Ethiopia; wants to expand her successful consulting 
business 


by taking a loan。 But she has no proof of good credit history because there are no 
credit information registries。 Although her business has substantial assets in 
accounts receivable; laws restrict her bank from using these as collateral。 The bank 
knows it cannot recover the debt if Timnit defaults; because courts are inefficient 
and laws give creditors few powers。 Credit is denied。 The business stays small。 
〃Having registered; hired workers; enforced contracts; and obtained credit; Avik; 
a businessman in India; cannot make a profit and goes out of business。 Faced with 
a 10…year…long process of going through bankruptcy; Avik absconds; leaving his 
workers; the bank; and the tax agency with nothing。〃 
If you want to know why two decades of macroeconomic reform wholesale at the top have 
not slowed the spread of poverty and produced enough new jobs in key countries of 
Latin America; Africa; the Arab world; and the former Soviet Empire; it is because 
there has been too little reform retail。 According to the IFC report; if you want 
to create pro… 

ductive jobs (the kind that lead to rising standards of living); and if you want to 
stimulate the growth of new businesses (the kind that innovate; compete; and create 
wealth); you need a regulatory environment that makes it easy to start a business; 
easy to adjust a business to changing market circumstances and opportunities; and 
easy to close a business that goes bankrupt; so that the capital can be freed up for 
more productive uses。 
〃It takes two days to start a business in Australia; but 203 days in Haiti and 215 
days in the Democratic Republic of Congo;〃 the IFC study found。 〃There are no monetary 
costs to start a new business in Denmark; but it costs more than five times income 
per capita in Cambodia and over thirteen times in Sierra Leone。 Hong Kong; Singapore; 
Thailand and more than three dozen other economies require no minimum capital from 
start…ups。 In contrast; in Syria the capital requirement is equivalent to fifty…six 
times income per capita 。 。 。 Businesses in the Czech Republic and Denmark can hire 
workers on part…time or fixed…term contracts for any job; without specifying maximum 
duration ofthe contract。 In contrast; employment laws in ElSalvador allow fixed…term 
contracts only for specific jobs; and set t
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