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the.world.is.flat-第30章

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〃and an entrepreneurial zeal to do whatever it takes to please big retailers such 
as Wal…Mart Stores; Target; Best Buy and J。C。 Penney。〃 
Critics of China's business practices say that its size and economic power mean that 
it will soon be setting the global floor not only for low wages but also for lax labor 
laws and workplace standards。 This is known in the business as 〃the China price。〃 
But what is really scary is that China is not attracting so much global investment 
by simply racing everyone to the bottom。 That is just a short…term strategy。 The 
biggest mistake any business can make when it comes to China is thinking that it is 
only winning on wages and not improving quality and productivity。 In the private; 
non…state…owned sector of Chinese industry; productivity increased 17 percent 
annually…I repeat; 17 percent annually…between 1995 and 2002; according to a study 
by the U。S。 Conference Board。 This is due to China's absorption of both new 
technologies and modern business practices; starting from a very low base。 
Incidentally; the Conference Board study noted; China lost 15 million manufacturing 
jobs during this period; compared with 2 million in the United States。 〃As its 
manufacturing productivity accelerates; China is losing jobs in manufacturing…many 
more than the United States is…and gaining them in services; a pattern that has been 
playing out in the developed world for many years;〃 the study said。 
China's real long…term strategy is to outrace America and the E。U。 countries to the 
top; and the Chinese are off to a good start。 China's leaders are much more focused 
than many of their Western counterparts on how to train their young people in the 
math; science; and computer skills required for success in the flat world; how to 
build a physical and telecom infrastructure that will allow Chinese people to plug 
and play faster 
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and easier than others; and how to create incentives that will attract global 
investors。 What China's leaders really want is the next generation of underwear or 
airplane wings to be designed in China as well。 That is where things are heading in 


another decade。 So in thirty years we will have gone from 〃sold in China〃 to 〃made 
in China〃to 〃designed in China〃 to 〃dreamed upin China〃…or from China as collaborator 
with the worldwide manufacturers on nothing to China as a low…cost; high…quality; 
hyperefficient collaborator with worldwide manufacturers on everything。 This should 
allow China to maintain its role as a major flattening force; provided that political 
instability does not disrupt the process。 Indeed; while researching this chapter; 
I came across an online Silicon Valley newsletter called the Inquirer; which follows 
the semiconductor industry。 What caught my eye was its November 5; 2001; article 
headlined; 〃China to Become Center of Everything。〃 It quoted a China People's Daily 
article that claimed that four hundred out of the Forbes 500 companies have invested 
in more than two thousand projects in mainland China。 And that was four years ago。 
Japan; being right next door to China; has taken a very aggressive approach to 
internalizing the China challenge。 Osamu Watanabe; chairman of the Japan External 
Trade Organization (JETRO); Japan's official organ for promoting exports; told me 
in Tokyo; 〃China is developing very rapidly and making the shift from low…grade 
products to high…grade; high…tech ones。〃 As a result; added Watanabe; Japanese 
companies; to remain globally competitive; have had to shift some production and a 
lot of assembly of middle…range products to China; while shifting at home to making 
〃even higher value…added products。〃 So China and Japan 〃are becoming part of the same 
supply chain。〃 After a prolonged recession; Japan's economy started to bounce back 
in 2003; due to the sale of thousands of tons of machinery; assembly robots; and other 
critical components in China。 In 2003; China replaced the United States as the biggest 
importer of Japanese products。 Still; the Japanese government is urging its companies 
to be careful not to overinvest in China。 It encourages them to practice what Watanabe 
called a 〃China plus one〃 strategy: to keep one production leg in China but the other 
in 

a different Asian country…just in case political turmoil unflattens China one day。 
This China flattener has been wrenching for certain manufacturing workers around the 
world; but a godsend for all consumers。 Fortune magazine (October 4; 2004) quoted 
a study by Morgan Stanley estimating that since the mid…1990s alone; cheap imports 
from China have saved U。S。 consumers roughly 600 billion and have saved U。S。 
manufacturers untold billions in cheaper parts for their products。 This savings; in 
turn; Fortune noted; has helped the Federal Reserve to hold down interest rates longer; 
giving more Americans a chance to buy homes or refinance the ones they have; and giving 
businesses more capital to invest in new innovations。 
In an effort to better understand how offshoring to China works; I sat down in Beijing 
with Jack Perkowski of ASIMCO; a pioneer in this form of collaboration。 If they ever 
have a category in the Olympics called 〃extreme capitalism;〃 bet on Perkowski to win 
the gold。 In 1988 he stepped down as a top investment banker at Paine Webber and went 
to a leverage buyout firm; but two years later; at age forty…two; decided it was time 
for a new challenge。 With some partners; he raised 150 million to buy companies in 
China and headed off for the adventure of his life。 Since then he has lost and remade 
millions of dollars; learned every lesson the hard way; but survived to become a 


powerful example of what offshoring to China is all about and what a powerful 
collaborative tool it can become。 
〃When I first startedback in1992…1993; everyone thoughtthe hard part was toactually 
find and gain access to opportunities in China;〃 recalled Perkowski。 It turned out 
that there were opportunities aplenty but a critical shortage of Chinese managers 
who understood how to run an auto parts factory along capitalist lines; with an 
emphasis on exports and making world…class products for the Chinese market。 As 
Perkowski put it; the easy part was setting up shop in China。 The hard part was getting 
the right local managers who could run the store。 So when he initially started buying 
majority ownership in Chinese auto parts companies; Perkowski began by importing 
managers from abroad。 Bad idea。 It was too expensive; and operating in China was just 
too foreign for foreigners。 Scratch plan A。 
121 
〃So we sent all the expats home; which gave me problems with my investor base; and 
went to plan B;〃 he said。 〃We then tried to convert the 'Old China' managers who 
typically came along with the plants we bought; but that didn't work either。 They 
were simply too used to working in a planned economy where they never had to deal 
with the marketplace; just deliver their quotas。 Those managers who did have an 
entrepreneurial flair got drunk on their first sip of capitalism and were ready to 
try anything。 
〃The Chinese are very entrepreneurial;〃 said Perkowski; 〃but back then; before China 
joined the WTO; there was no rule of law and no bond or stock market to restrain this 
entrepreneurialism。 Your only choices were managers from the state…owned sector; who 
were very bureaucratic; or managers from the first wave of private companies; who 
were practicing cowboy capitalism。 Neither is where you want to be。 If your managers 
are too bureaucratic; you can't get anything done…they just give excuses about how 
China is different…and if they are too entrepreneurial; you can't sleep at night; 
because you have no idea what they are going to do。〃 Perkowski had a lot of sleepless 
nights。 
One of his first purchases in China was an interest in a company making rubber parts。 
When he subsequently reached an agreement with his Chinese partner to purchase his 
shares in the company; the Chinese partner signed a noncompete clause as part of the 
transaction。 As soon as the deal closed; however; the Chinese partner went out and 
opened a new factory。 〃Noncompete〃 did not quite translate into Mandarin。 Scratch 
plan B。 
Meanwhile; Perkowski's partnership was hemorrhaging money… Perkowski's tuition for 
learning how to do business in China…and he found himself owning a string of Chinese 
auto parts factories。 〃Around 1997 was the low point;〃 he said。 〃Our company as a 
whole was shrinking and we were not profitable。 While some of our companies were doing 
okay; we were generally in tough shape。 Although we had majority ownership and could 
theoretically put anyone on the field that we wanted; I looked at my 'managerial' 
bench and I had no one to put in the game。〃 Time for plan C。 
〃We essentially concluded that; while we liked China; we wanted no 
122 


part of'Old China;' and instead wanted to place our bets on 'New China' managers;〃 
said Perkowski。 〃We began looking for a new breed of Chinese managers who were 
open…minded and had gotten some form of management training。 We were looking for 
individuals who were experienced at operating in 
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